Probability Lesson for Kids: Examples & Definition

Instructor: Carla Palomino
Have you ever been at a birthday party picking out candies from a mystery box? In this lesson, you will learn what probability is, important vocabulary and written probabilities in number form. That chocolate candy will be yours next time!

What Does Probability Mean?

Probability is the chance that something will happen, or how likely it is that an event will occur.

When we toss a coin in the air, we use the word probability to refer to how likely it is that the coin will land with head's side up.

Important Words to Refer to Probability

When we talk about probability, we use a few words that help us understand the chance for something to happen. Probability can be expressed in the following ways:

Certain means that an event will happen without a doubt.

Likely means that the probability of one event is higher than the probability of another event.

Equal probability means that the chance of each event happening is the same.

Unlikely means one event is less likely to happen versus another event.

Impossible means that there is no chance of an event happening.

Let's use an example: you want to go to your best friend's birthday party next Saturday. Your parents decide to make a deal with you:

Mom: ''It is certain you will go to the birthday party if you pass your test on Friday.'' (If you pass that test, you will go. No doubt about it).

Dad: ''If you pass your test on Friday, it is likely you will go to the birthday party.'' (Your chances of going are greater than staying at home if you pass).

Dad: ''We already have plans for Saturday, there is an equal probability for you to go to the party or to stay with us, we will see on Friday.'' (Both events can happen, both are equally probable).

Mom: ''If you don't pass that test on Friday, it is unlikely you will go to the birthday party.'' (Your chances of staying at home are higher than going to the party if you don't pass the test).

Dad: '' You may not go to the party if you don't pass the test.'' (If you fail, there is no chance that you will go to the party).

Chances to go to your best friend birthday party

How to Write Out Probability in Number Form

There are 6 cupcakes in a lunch bag, two of them are vanilla and the other four, chocolate. 

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