# Base Rate Fallacy: Definition & Example

Instructions:

question 1 of 3

### If you flip a coin 4 times, which of the following results is the most likely to occur (H = heads; T = tails)?

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### 2. Which term describes the likelihood of an event occurring out there in the world regardless of what the conditions of a particular situation may be?

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With these assessments, you will be asked questions about the likelihood of results and the misjudgment of likelihood via multiple base rate examples.

## Quiz & Worksheet Goals

The focus of this practice will be on:

• Significant base-rate details
• The likelihood of events
• Practical applications of likelihood calculation
• Misjudgment of likelihood

## Skills Practiced

• Interpreting information - verify that you can read information regarding the base rate fallacy and interpret it correctly
• Critical thinking - apply relevant concepts to examine information about probability in a different light
• Reading comprehension - ensure that you draw the most important information from the related base rate fallacy lesson